Abraham Accords Benefit Index

Pilot edition: verified trade and travel figures, data coverage across nine sectors, and the proposed method. No scores are published yet.

Explore the Benefit Index (pilot)

Choose a country and a sector to compare the 2019 baseline with the latest verified value. Where no verified source exists yet, we show "Data in progress" (n/a).

Overall scores await method sign-off. Kazakhstan announced its intention to join on 6 November 2025; signing is pending.

Draft, under review: this content has not yet been approved for publication.

Trade with Israel

Verified figures only

Accords-wide: Israel’s trade with Accords partners rose from $593m in 2019 to $3.47bn in 2022 (AAPI, using Israel CBS data). Partial-year figures are shown but not scored.

Flights and people

Passengers, flights and visitors

Security note (not scored): SIPRI records 3 arms orders by the UAE and 7 by Morocco from Israel in 2020–24, compared with none in 2015–19. These are volume units, not dollars (SIPRI Arms Transfers Database).

Data coverage by sector

Members covered: UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, Sudan and Israel; Kazakhstan announced its intention to join on 6 November 2025 (formal signing not yet confirmed)

Pilot data. No country or sector scores are published yet: only trade and travel have verified figures, and the scoring method is awaiting final decisions. Cells marked n/a will be filled only from official or reputable sources. Some source links point to the publisher’s home page while exact page URLs are re-checked.

Method (proposed)

Awaiting final decisions; no scores are calculated yet

  1. Indicators. Each sector uses public indicators, e.g. bilateral goods trade (Israel CBS, UN Comtrade), passengers and flights (ministries, airports).
  2. Change vs. baseline. Compare 2019 (pre-Accords) with the latest full year. Partial-year figures are shown but not scored.
  3. Normalise. Log growth ratio scaled 0–100 across countries, so a jump from near zero does not dominate: score = 100 × (ln(latest / baseline) − min) / (max − min).
  4. Weight. Nine sectors equally weighted (1/9 each); a country score would average only sectors with data and state its coverage.
  5. Publish sources. Every figure links to its source; missing data is n/a, never estimated. The figures show correlation, not cause.

Open data: data/index.json (value, year, source URL and access date for every cell).